04 Oct UFC 229: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Betting Odds
Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a clash of styles the sport of MMA was made for. Perhaps the best striker in the game vs the best grappler in this game is a dream fight for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the existing UFC lightweight winner, is preferred to win at -170 with McGregor coming back at +140. The mega-fight will take place tonight in Las Vegas in UFC 229.
From a promotional standpoint, making that the fight is a dream come true for the UFC as it will definitely be one of the most lucrative events in their own history, and by a gaming perspective, there is plenty of money to be made also. McGregor fans will be foaming at the mouth to place a wager on the Irishman, especially at plus-money, but is that a wise wager versus the 26-0 Nurmagomedov, whose smothering grappling style has been completely unsolvable?
McGregor’s grappling skills are probably in the typical selection and that’s an area where he has been taken advantage of before. A considerably smaller Chad Mendes easily took McGregor into the mat whenever he wanted to at UFC 189 (yes, I understand McGregor won the struggle ), and he had been choked out by Nate Diaz at UFC 196.
He can have a significant disadvantage when it comes to wrestling, however, there are different areas where McGregor could have a certain upper hand, most especially with his palms. Eighteen of his 21 professional wins have come through T/KO and he has a very impressive hit list that includes finishes of Jose Aldo, Eddie Alvarez, Dustin Poirier and, of course, Paulie Malignaggi (insert smiley face emoji here).
Line Movement (or lack thereof)
In the event the quantity of betting action McGregor obtained vs Floyd Mayweather is some indicator, some bettors clearly do not care how he matches stylistically — following opening at +950 vs Mayweather, McGregor closed at +265 because of an avalanche of bets placed on him.
Many, such as myself, presumed we would have seen much more motion online as a result of lots of people cash coming in around McGregor, but this has not been the case yet. On the day Khabib vs McGregor has been announced, Nurmagomedov opened -200 with McGregor in +160. With the champ now at -170 and Conor at +140 on the afternoon of the struggle, there’s still pretty excellent value on McGregor as a puppy and those who are convinced in Khabib should feel good about getting him at a much greater number than his starting chances.
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